Atletico Madrid – FK Qarabağ Ağdam PREDICTION (31.10.2017)

Next Blamage for Atlético?
Atlético Madrid are already on their way to the wall next Tuesday in the Champions League. In the home game against Underdog Qarabag Agdam must win, if one wants to maintain the odds on the round of the last 16. However, it is not a self-evident thing, as the first encounter between these two teams showed. The kick-off is on 31 October at 20:45.

Current form Atlético Madrid
Atlético does not live up to its expectations in the current season. Both in the Champions League, as well as in the Spanish Championship lags behind the multiple finalists of the premier class. This is not so much the placement (fourth place), but rather the backlog, which has already been compared to the competition. With 20 points, Diego Simeone’s side are on par with rivals Real, but are already eight points behind leaders Leader Barcelona and four in the form of Valencia. Defensive Atlético is stable as ever, but in the offensive it has been violent in the last few weeks. In the past four league games, the Madrid have never been able to score more than one goal, a feat that has only been achieved twice in six games. How hard the crisis weighs in the attack, the fact shows that alone a third of all 15 goals this season have been scored in a single game, in a 5-1 away win against Las Palmas. Finally, one could win one of the four matches, even in a foreigner’s 1-0 win against Celta Vigo. Interesting: Although you only hold fourth place, Atlético is still undefeated in the league. However, no less than five out of 10 games ended in a division of points. The fact is that the offensive problems in the Estadio Vicente Calderón were even more serious than abroad. Only four goals are scored in four games, a very low value for a top Spanish club. Also in the Champions League they remained on the previous three matchdays twice without a goal. Which lets us talk again about the first leg in Azerbaijan. Although Atlético found five really good chances to score, but had serious problems in the final. There was very little defensive, but an even 20-minute overdose remained unused in the final phase. Bitter: With Koke and Yannick Carrasco on Tuesday, two players could fail, which with their overview, their pace and their playfulness would be very important against a surely tightly staggered defense of the opponent. Most recently, FC Villareal’s 1-1 draw against FC Villareal proved to be very successful, especially in the game against the ball. However, there were hardly any out-of-the-way action, but it was the individual performances that were responsible for good opportunities. In addition, the conclusion was often (too) quickly sought, too often by the Center. A similar tactic could backfire on Tuesday.

Current form Qarabag Agdam
Gurban Gurbanov’s men were able to regain their confidence in the home game against Atlético with their first point win two weeks ago. In the 0-0, however, showed a major defect. In the attack third of the debutants from Azerbaijan lacks to penetration, only a single shot on target was after 90 minutes on the credit side. This will probably change little on Tuesday, on the contrary. In the offensive, there is a lack of quality in international comparison. Defensively against it one showed oneself also in the league last enormously strong. Best proof of this: Qarabag has not conceded more than one goal in any single game of the season, winning 1-0 against Sabail. Overall, however, they have won only two of the last four matches in the league, because against Gabala had the Gurbanov-Elf the first league defeat ever, the second only across the competition, accept. Hope makes the fact that you could get away so far more hits, namely the nine. However, they lost the first away game in the Champions League against Chelsea FC smoothly with 0: 6. Bitter: With Pedro Henrique and Tarik Elyounoussi two important offensive players fall out, which could provide above all on the left side for a lot of operation. This is still the “showpiece” in the attack department of Gurbanov Elf. Especially Mahir Madatov could play with five hits and two assists in seven championship games in the limelight. Accordingly, in the first leg almost half of all Attempt attempts were started on the left, Madatov was also the player of the home team, which forced the most dribbling. The fact is that Qarabag in the game forward de facto only with high balls in the top and on the wings act, no less than 81 were just beaten two weeks ago. Sudetiously vulnerable, they showed themselves in the standard situation, but Atlético came close to five dangerous opportunities. Problems also arise in the third attack. Even the only goal shot against Atlético was fired from outside the area. Strengths we see in the passport. Because even against an aggressively acting team like Atlético, “only” lost 29 ball losses and thus one less than the opponent. How defensive Qarabag is set, showed 30 clarifications and at least 13 blocked shot attempts of the opponent.

PREDICTION: Atletico Madrid win @ 1.13

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