The shape is still good, and I’ll try to keep the steady curve up! In a noticeably scary range, it’s a good idea to sneak up the gold clumps you get – and here I’ve found a nice game.
With 6 rounds left in Brazilian Série A (the country’s highest strike), Avaí takes Bahia into a vital match at home at Estádio de Ressacada. Set to size is the league’s second smallest stage, but it still leads to real pressure against the away team that flown far. Both teams are newcomers, but have quite different conditions for the final league. For Avaí, try to get on the right side of the relegation line – thus avoiding relegation to Série B – while Bahia is aiming for a top 7 position, which would be a blow to Copa Libertadores.
Avaí has been very difficult to produce goals this season, and has been very dependent on 29-year-old brass Júnior Dutra who, despite his outfield field, made the highest number of goals. Romulo – usually played as sole striker – has missed far too many positions. However, it has improved in recent times, and Avaí has now enjoyed 5 of its 6 most recent home matches. Lastly, it became a heavy loss away from Coritiba.
Bahia has a better shape than its opponent, but it is also one on the paper better team should also be added. Interestingly, the team now found the net in 14 of its 15 last matches – impressed numbers. The team has a clear, more scattered goalkeeper, but recently, Edigar Junio has impressed with goals in all three last matches. However, Bahia is clearly worse on the way out, only two points have been won so far.
Here I turn to the review on the low line.
Bahias 19 of 21 most recent matches contain at least 2 goals. In the last 5, they score 2.8 goals / match.
Avaí’s 8 out of 9 matches contain at least 2 goals. In the last 5, you also score 2.8 goals / match.
The team has met 7 times. ALL have contained at least 2 goals, with 7 in addition 3+ goals. When these teams meet, it’s a bit more than 3.57 goals / match.
PREDICTION: Over 2,5 goals @ 1.86
